The Doyen Brief
Innovation & Competitiveness

Costa Rica ships more medical devices per person than any country on earth. It built that on a tax holiday the world has just capped at 15%.

The global minimum tax retires the tool that seeded Costa Rica's medtech cluster. Plus Latin American investment barely grew last year, Egypt keeps the top of the African table, the Gulf and Africa put some structure on their courtship, the Philippines counts the engineers it still has to train, and Vietnam and Indonesia sign a five-year plan.

Quick hits

What moved, in brief.

01

Latin America's investment year was flat, and that is the backdrop

ECLAC's 2026 report puts FDI into Latin America and the Caribbean at $194.2 billion in 2025, up just 1.7%, worth 2.8% of regional GDP and 14% of gross fixed capital formation. When the regional tide barely moves, share is won at the country and sector level, which is why composition and retention are doing more of the work than any headline flow. The report's own title, Navigating the New Global Context, is a fair description of the job.

ECLAC: FDI in Latin America and the Caribbean grew just 1.7% in 2025
02

Egypt keeps the top of the African table

At the Africa launch of UNCTAD's World Investment Report on 27 July, Cairo said it ranked first on the continent for FDI for a fourth straight year, with $15.5 billion in inflows led by energy, logistics, and manufacturing. A four-year run at the top is a reinvestment and aftercare story as much as a new-deal one. Staying first means the investors already there keep committing.

Egypt Independent: Egypt leads Africa in FDI inflows for fourth consecutive year
03

The Gulf and Africa try to make the money show up

A high-level dialogue in Addis Ababa under the Gulf-Africa Strategic Partnership Initiative pressed on the same weak point every partnership summit eventually hits: turning pledges into disbursed projects, in energy, critical minerals, and logistics. The gap between a signed memorandum and money in the ground is where the work sits, and the structures that track disbursement beat another communique.

Fana: Africa-Gulf partnership vital for growth and investment, officials say
04

The Philippines puts a number on its workforce gap

Manila is targeting 128,000 trained semiconductor engineers and technicians by 2028 as it tries to climb from assembly and testing toward higher-value work. The figure is the pitch now. For the next wave of chip investment across Southeast Asia the binding constraint is people, and a workforce plan with a date and a headcount has become part of the offer.

VietnamPlus: Philippines aims to train 128,000 semiconductor talents by 2028
05

Vietnam and Indonesia put their partnership on a five-year clock

On 14 July the two countries signed a 2026 to 2030 action plan for their comprehensive strategic partnership and reaffirmed an $18 billion bilateral trade target for 2028, with priority areas in high technology, energy, and cross-border payments. Deepening trade between neighbors is the quiet complement to courting outside capital. Intra-regional value chains are what make a nearshoring or friend-shoring pitch credible in the first place.

VietnamPlus: Viet Nam, Indonesia chart new strategic cooperation agenda
Deep dive · Innovation & Competitiveness

Costa Rica built the world's densest medtech cluster on a tax holiday. The global minimum tax has just capped that tool.

A 15% floor under corporate tax neutralizes an exemption that has run for 40 years.

Start with the achievement, because it is real. CINDE, the country's investment promotion agency, puts medical-device exports at roughly $11 billion in 2025, close to half of all goods exports and a record, up from $5.21 billion in 2021. A country of about five million people is the world's largest per-capita exporter of medical devices and sits around tenth in the world by total value, ahead of far larger economies. CINDE's 2026 life-sciences forum counted 100 companies around the Central Valley, among them Boston Scientific, Medtronic, and Abbott. If you run an investment agency anywhere, this is the case study you have already been shown. The tool that won those companies has just been taken off the table.

That tool was the Free Zone Regime. A company that qualifies gets a full income-tax exemption for its first eight years and a half exemption for the next four, on top of permanent relief from VAT and import duties on equipment and inputs. For four decades that discount, paired with an unusually stable rule of law, an OECD membership secured in 2021, and a short flight to the United States, is how a coffee-and-bananas economy recruited the most demanding names in regulated manufacturing. The holiday was never the whole story, but it was the opening line of every pitch.

The opening line no longer works the way it did. Under the OECD's second pillar, large multinationals now owe an effective 15% minimum wherever they book profit. If Costa Rica's exemption drops a company below that floor, another government is entitled to collect the difference as a top-up. The exemption stops lowering the investor's global bill and starts handing revenue to a foreign treasury. The OECD's own study, Tax Incentives and the Global Minimum Corporate Tax, finds that tax holidays and zero-tax zones are the incentives this hits hardest, while cost-based tools such as accelerated depreciation and payroll or research credits survive largely intact. Costa Rica's finance ministry has moved carefully, for the obvious reason that the Free Zone Regime is the flagship it is being asked to rethink.

The response most exposed countries are reaching for, and the one the Costa Rican tax advisory ICS Consultores expects here, is a domestic top-up tax that collects the 15% at home rather than surrendering it abroad. That keeps the revenue. What it cannot do is keep the price advantage, because there is no longer a price advantage to keep.

What holds Boston Scientific in Costa Rica in 2026 is a workforce trained in device assembly, sterile processing, and regulatory affairs, a local supplier base that has learned to pass FDA and ISO audits, and a promotion agency, CINDE, that runs its own talent programs with the technical institutes rather than waiting for graduates to appear. Moving to chase a lower rate somewhere else means rebuilding all of that from scratch, and the rebuild takes years the investor does not have. Cost-based tools survive the second pillar, so a rival can still come at Costa Rica with grants, payroll credits, and accelerated depreciation, and use them to cover the cost of that rebuild. What no grant shortens is the time a new supplier base needs to pass its first FDA audit.

The lesson runs the other way for agencies still early in the game. If you have a holiday, treat the years you still hold it as a budget for building the things that outlast it. Tie the exemption to commitments that leave something behind, starting with a named talent pipeline with local colleges and supplier development that makes the second and third tier domestic. Then count engineers certified and suppliers qualified. If Boston Scientific or Medtronic moves a Costa Rican plant to a cheaper jurisdiction and absorbs the rebuild anyway, the argument here is wrong. When the discount gets capped, and it now has been, the agency that spent it on capability keeps its cluster.

How Costa Rica's medical-device exports climbed to a record.
0 $B2 $B4 $B6 $B8 $B10 $B12 $B5.2 $B5.9 $B7.6 $B8.7 $B11 $B20212022202320242025

Costa Rica's annual medical-device exports, 2021–2025, in billions of US dollars. The 2025 figure is roughly $11 billion, close to half of all goods exports. Sources: PROCOMER and CINDE.

Why it matters for practitioners

  • Tax holidays are the incentive the 15% global minimum tax hits hardest, on the OECD's own reading. If your exemption drops an investor below 15%, another treasury collects the difference, so the discount now leaks abroad instead of helping the investor. Audit which of your incentives still function after the second pillar, and shift toward cost-based tools that do.
  • Capability depth is the part of a cluster a competitor cannot underprice. Measure it the way you measure deals, in engineers certified and local suppliers that have passed an FDA or ISO audit.
  • While you still hold the tool, spend it on what outlasts it. Attach the holiday to talent-pipeline and supplier-development commitments so the exemption years leave behind a workforce and a supply base.
  • This week: list your top five anchor investors and write down, for each, what would have to be rebuilt if they left tomorrow. If the answer is not much, your incentive is doing retention work that capability should be doing.

Sources