The Doyen Brief
Trade & Export Development

Manila Tied a 90% Remote-Work Cap to Export and Headcount Floors

The relief is retroactive to March 24, expires in a year, and leaves each investment promotion agency to set its own threshold between 50% and 90%.

Quick hits

What moved, in brief.

01

Indonesia's zones took 3.16% of national investment in the first half

Investment realization in Indonesia's special economic zones reached IDR 32 trillion in the first half of 2026, IDR 24 trillion of it foreign and IDR 8 trillion domestic, against national realization of IDR 1,010.6 trillion. Rizal Edwin Manansang, acting secretary general of the SEZ National Council, pointed to Indonesia's first melamine plant, worth US$600 million, at the Gresik zone and a IDR 1.12 trillion factory at Kendal. Budi Santoso, deputy chairperson of the council's executive team, said future incentives will be results-based, with industrial zones judged on export value and productivity and tourism zones on visitor numbers and growth in micro, small and medium enterprises.

H1 2026: SEZ Investment Realisation Reaches IDR32 Trillion
02

Intesa Sanpaolo put €60 billion of credit behind Italy's southern zone

Intesa Sanpaolo and Confindustria launched a plan they call ZES 2.0 in July 2026, with the Department for Southern Italy at the Presidency of the Council of Ministers, putting €60 billion of dedicated credit lines behind companies investing in Italy's single special economic zone on top of existing public incentives. The bank's own accounting of the zone to date is the number worth carrying into a board paper: €5.5 billion of public investment against €59 billion of investment generated and 71,000 new jobs.

"ZES 2.0": €60 billion plan to develop Italy's Special Economic Zone
03

US governors have until September 28 to pick the next Opportunity Zone tracts

The US Treasury opened the new Opportunity Zone designation cycle on July 1, 2026, releasing 25,332 eligible census tracts, of which 8,334 qualify for the rural benefits enacted under the Working Families Tax Cuts. Governors of each state and territory have until September 28, 2026 to submit nomination lists, states may generally designate up to 25% of their eligible tracts, and the resulting designations run from January 1, 2027 to December 31, 2036.

Treasury Opens the New Designation Cycle for Opportunity Zones
04

The offtake mechanism behind February's 11 minerals frameworks is due this half

The US signed 11 bilateral critical minerals frameworks or memoranda at the February 2026 ministerial, with Argentina, the Cook Islands, Ecuador, Guinea, Morocco, Paraguay, Peru, the Philippines, the United Arab Emirates, the UK and Uzbekistan. Higher counts circulate, including the 13 this brief carried on August 5 from CSIS, because some tallies fold in cooperation frameworks agreed with the EU, Japan and Mexico rather than with a single partner country. The instrument that would turn any of them into revenue is separate and still pending: an offtake mechanism letting producers pre-sell future output to governments or industrial buyers is expected to become operational in the second half of 2026.

2026 Critical Minerals Ministerial
05

EU importers above 50 tonnes now need authorization to keep buying

The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism has been in its definitive regime since January 1, 2026. Only authorized declarants may import covered goods above the 50-tonne annual threshold, and the first annual CBAM declaration, covering 2026 imports, is due by September 30, 2027. That date sets the deadline by which a supplier's verified emissions data has to exist in a form its EU buyer can file.

Start of the definitive period of the CBAM in the EU
Deep dive · Trade & Export Development

The Philippines granted its zone exporters emergency cost relief and made it conditional on holding export revenue and headcount

Resolution No. 005-2026 runs for one year from March 24, and the promotion agency, not the board that issued it, sets the operative threshold.

The Fiscal Incentives Review Board raised the ceiling on remote work inside Philippine economic and freeport zones to 90% from 50% in Resolution No. 005-2026, dated April 8, 2026 and made public two days later. Trade Secretary Cristina Roque, who co-chairs the board, said the change would let registered business enterprises hold their cost competitiveness and would ease the burden of higher fuel prices on their workforce. The measure applies retroactively from March 24 and expires after one year unless the President lifts or extends it.

An energy emergency produced it rather than an industrial strategy. President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. issued Executive Order No. 110 in March 2026, placing the Philippines under a state of national energy emergency and encouraging private employers to adopt flexible work to cut operating costs. The sector that pressed hardest was IT-BPM, which IBPAP counts at about US$40 billion in export revenue for 2025 and roughly 1.9 million employees, up from US$38 billion in 2024 and US$35.5 billion in 2023. Services stood at 63% of GDP and 45% of total exports on the record of the WTO's sixth Trade Policy Review of the Philippines, held June 24 and 26, 2026.

Read past the ceiling and this is an aftercare instrument. FIRB attached a floor to the relief: a registered enterprise must maintain its prescribed export revenues and retain its current number of employees whatever share of its staff works from home. The concession buys cost flexibility and prices it in the two variables the incentive was granted to produce. Most incentive relief is not written that way, and an agency reading this resolution is looking at a covenant it could ask for the next time an exporter comes asking for room.

The board also kept the promotion agencies in the decision. It authorized them to permit up to 90%, and an agency may set a lower threshold of at least 50% depending on the nature of an enterprise's operations, so PEZA holds the operative number for its own register. It holds the compliance file too. Enterprises must notify the agency before starting, submit an inventory of technology assets taken outside the zone, lodge a surety bond, and file monthly updates on equipment held outside, with penalties calculated as regular income tax multiplied by the amount by which the threshold is exceeded in a given month. Relief on this design is only as good as the agency's capacity to process it.

Cost relief triggered by an oil shock may say little about promotion practice anywhere else. The measure expires in March 2027, the conditions may go unenforced, and the Asian Development Bank's May 2026 assessment ties the sector's growth to upskilling and digital infrastructure rather than to incentive design. If FIRB lets the resolution lapse without reporting whether enterprises held their export revenue and their headcount, the conditions were decoration and the reading here is wrong.

The resolution expires in March 2027. FIRB has not said whether it will report on the export revenue and employment condition when it does.

Philippine IT-BPM export revenue by year
0 US$ billion10 US$ billion20 US$ billion30 US$ billion40 US$ billion50 US$ billion35.5 US$ billion38 US$ billion40 US$ billion42 US$ billion2023202420252026 (target)

Export revenue reported by IBPAP for 2023 to 2025, with the association's 2026 figure a target rather than an outturn. The 2025 number is reported as about US$40 billion.

Why it matters for practitioners

  • Copy the condition, not the concession. FIRB granted remote work relief only to enterprises that hold their prescribed export revenue and their current headcount, which converts a cost break into an aftercare covenant you can check at the end of the year.
  • Work out which numbers your agency sets and which are set above it. Philippine promotion agencies may choose any threshold between 50% and 90%, so the operative figure belongs to them even though the ceiling does not, and an exporter asking for relief is asking them.
  • This week, price the compliance load before you request a relief measure of your own. The Philippine version obliges every participating enterprise to file an asset inventory, a surety bond and monthly equipment reports, and an agency that cannot process those has won a concession it cannot deliver.

Sources

Previous issue · Thursday, August 6, 2026The World Bank Put Central Europe's Productivity Gap Inside Domestic Firms

Get the Brief in your inbox

Each issue is free and arrives the day it publishes.

You may unsubscribe at any time. We do not sell or share your details. Privacy policy.